1118 Scarlet Oak East 247

Jackson, MI 49201

$17,600D+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Built 2026 · Manufactured · Active · 61 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $792/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$92
• Tax + insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$166
• Net cashflow: $504/mo
• Annual: $6,047/yr
• Cap rate: 40.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 122.70%
• DSCR: 6.46
• 1% rule: 4.50%
• Cash to close: $4,928

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $18k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($792 rent vs $18k).
• It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $17k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $122 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $528 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Northwest Community Schools (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Northwest Early Elementary School (869 students, 61% FRL); Northwest Kidder Middle School (math 14% / reading 41%, grade F, #363 of 493 statewide, top 75%, 790 students, 50% FRL); Northwest High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 972 students, 40% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 374 active listings in the ZIP; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 40.6% vs local median 5.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.