3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
964 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,393/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$210/mo
Annual
$2,522/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.57%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Beacon Elementary School (338 students, 84% FRL); Harper Woods Middle School (math 4% / reading 19%, grade F, #469 of 493 statewide, top 95%, 313 students, 82% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $119k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NWRVTWB1TK8TW0
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29