800 Bearses Way Unit 3NF

Barnstable Town, MA 02601

$349,000D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · Built 1974 · Condo · Active · 84 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,593/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,830
• Tax + insurance: −$327
• HOA: −$440
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$754
• Net cashflow: $241/mo
• Annual: $2,890/yr
• Cap rate: 7.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.96%
• DSCR: 1.13
• 1% rule: 1.03%
• Cash to close: $97,720

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $349k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $349k).
• It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $328k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#169 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A-, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
• Barnstable (urban): math 25% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #237 of 302 in MA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 657 units permitted in Barnstable County in 2024 (178 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Barnstable County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 11 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $89k; list at $349k implies a 292% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.1% in Barnstable Town — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $3,593/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1557% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?