2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,487/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$218
Tax + insurance
−$69
HOA
−$849
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$312
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$471/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
3.58%
Cash to close
$11,620
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $42k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($471/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $287 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in UT, #810 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Ogden City District (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #72 of 80 in UT (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Heritage School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #501 of 585 statewide, top 86%, 638 students, 100% FRL); Highland Junior High (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #135 of 138 statewide, top 98%, 715 students, 0% FRL); Ben Lomond High (math 11% / reading 28%, grade F, #158 of 171 statewide, top 94%, 1,169 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 75% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 57% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 625 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NX632HFRZKJPFK
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29