4 bd · 5.0 ba ·
4,747 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 326 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,447/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$775
HOA
−$1
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$724
Net cashflow
$379/mo
Annual
$4,545/yr
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.43%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
It's been on market 326 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#59 in UT, #3,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, health & safety F.
Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Majestic Fields School (math 41% / reading 43%, grade F, #287 of 585 statewide, top 52%, 716 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools average 12% FRL vs 36% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1024 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 326 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NX8ND52GA72CE7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29