1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
793 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,928/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$582
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$-227/mo
Annual
$-2,722/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.75%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $169k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-227 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (19.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cave Language Academy (411 students, 68% FRL); Hogan Middle (867 students, 85% FRL); Vallejo High (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #723 of 1,170 statewide, top 64%, 1,335 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 62% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $169k implies a 322% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.1% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-NXAYGDFS7D4XWK
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29