3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,194 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,668/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$642
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$560
Net cashflow
$1,262/mo
Annual
$15,139/yr
Cap rate
18.65%
Cash-on-cash
44.14%
DSCR
2.96
1% rule
2.18%
Cash to close
$34,300
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $122k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $847 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#244 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Maccray School District (rural): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in MN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Maccray West Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%); Maccray Secondary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #306 of 471 statewide, top 70%, 366 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 30% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chippewa County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NXBJQ31MY9X4MW
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29