3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 222 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$600
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$449
Net cashflow
$329/mo
Annual
$3,944/yr
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.81%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.94%
Cash to close
$30,788
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $121k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $121k).
It's been on market 222 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#224 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
Flathead H S (town): math 29% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #55 of 116 in MT (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 693 active listings in the ZIP; 281 units permitted in Flathead County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Flathead County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 1.1% in Helena Flats — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 222 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NY0FA93WBBPZ1C
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29