3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1928
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,047/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$776
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$-198/mo
Annual
$-2,381/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.75%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$41,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-198 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (23.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (29.3% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#31 in MN, #969 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
Fergus Falls Public School District (town): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #46 of 301 in MN (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cleveland Elementary (math 71% / reading 60%, grade B+, #123 of 857 statewide, top 15%, 369 students, 47% FRL); Kennedy Middle School (math 57% / reading 63%, grade B, #25 of 258 statewide, top 9%, 769 students, 43% FRL); Kennedy High School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C, #64 of 471 statewide, top 16%, 685 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 24% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.3% in Fergus Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NY514JAF9Q6YFN
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29