2640 Lynnhurst Dr

Endwell, NY 13850

$189,000B

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,336 sqft · Built 1965 · SingleFamily · Pending · 12 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,630/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$991
• Tax + insurance: −$704
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$552
• Net cashflow: $383/mo
• Annual: $4,599/yr
• Cap rate: 8.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.69%
• DSCR: 1.39
• 1% rule: 1.39%
• Cash to close: $52,920

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $189k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#303 in NY, #4,992 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Vestal Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #168 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: African Road Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 327 students, 33% FRL); Vestal Middle School (math 45% / reading 64%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 781 students, 31% FRL); Vestal Senior High School (math 100%, 1,000 students, 26% FRL).
• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
• Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.0% in Endwell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.