3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 527 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$-21/mo
Annual
$-255/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.68%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-255/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (2.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (14.5% below list).
It's been on market 527 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 35/100 on livability (#420 in NM) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Santa Rosa Consolidated Schools (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #28 of 29 in NM (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 91% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Guadalupe County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 527 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and possibly leaking
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear and tear
Moderate: interior walls
— wallpaper in need of replacement
Moderate: windows
— old and possibly inefficient
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZ4V3JDS54R709
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29