4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,639 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,399/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$237/mo
Annual
$2,845/yr
Cap rate
8.77%
Cash-on-cash
8.84%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#506 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities D-.
Quincy SD 172 (town): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #328 of 620 in IL (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Thomas S Baldwin Elem Sch (math 21% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,024 of 2,056 statewide, top 50%, 563 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Jr High School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #295 of 665 statewide, top 45%, 1,348 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Sr High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 1,924 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.3% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZM64HE8Y2KA22
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29