2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,251 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,208/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,400
Tax + insurance
−$906
HOA
−$1,022
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$884
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-40/yr
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.79%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$74,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $267k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-40/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (0.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $267k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $259k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#14 in FL, #383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Treeline Elementary School (math 51% / reading 51%, grade C-, #1,043 of 2,144 statewide, top 49%, 1,135 students, 46% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Gateway High School (math 39% / reading 48%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 1,981 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 821 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.3% in Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,208/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($110k/yr) (locally 276% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZWHB153KKVJFY
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29