3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 249 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,698/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$996/mo
Annual
$11,954/yr
Cap rate
30.20%
Cash-on-cash
85.39%
DSCR
4.80
1% rule
3.40%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $996 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#629 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Rockford Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #88 of 301 in MN (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Rockford Elementary Arts Magnet (math 56% / reading 50%, grade C, #361 of 857 statewide, top 42%, 585 students, 40% FRL); Rockford Middle (math 34% / reading 62%, grade C-, #90 of 258 statewide, top 35%, 499 students, 31% FRL); Rockford Secondary (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #111 of 471 statewide, top 26%, 482 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: 257 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 30.2% vs local median 2.3% in Corcoran — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Moderate: roof shingles
— Aged appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZZV6F5PFBGXVY
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29