2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2015
· Manufactured
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$343
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$607/mo
Annual
$7,279/yr
Cap rate
17.41%
Cash-on-cash
39.69%
DSCR
2.77
1% rule
1.99%
Cash to close
$18,340
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $453 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#731 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
General Mclane SD (rural): math 50% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #85 of 539 in PA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 1.7% in McKean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P021PXE1FW4WY3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29