2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
976 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 303 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,189/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$707
Tax + insurance
−$153
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$79/mo
Annual
$942/yr
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.49%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$37,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($942/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (11.8% below list).
It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $67k; list at $135k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P07GZCA0HBJGDQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29