2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,096 sqft ·
Built 1986
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,236/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$361
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,100
Net cashflow
$2,387/mo
Annual
$28,638/yr
Cap rate
17.10%
Cash-on-cash
38.61%
DSCR
2.72
1% rule
1.98%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $265k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $241k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Harris County (rural): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 174 in GA (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $224k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 2.3% in Antioch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P0A91W9J1TYHTW
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29