1612 Parker St

Berkeley, CA 94703

$2,750,000C-

19 bd · 10.0 ba · 9,205 sqft · Built 1964 · MultiFamily · Active · 524 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $24,343/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$14,421
• Tax + insurance: −$4,530
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$5,112
• Net cashflow: $280/mo
• Annual: $3,354/yr
• Cap rate: 6.41%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.44%
• DSCR: 1.02
• 1% rule: 0.89%
• Cash to close: $770,000

Investor read

• This is a 8 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $2.75M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $35/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.43M (11.5% below list).
• It's been on market 524 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.42M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $2.42M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $19k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $82k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#74 in CA, #2,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Berkeley Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #175 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Current owner paid $325k; list at $2.75M implies a 746% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.0% in Berkeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $24,343/mo this rent would consume 266% of the median local household income ($110k/yr) (locally 1402% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 524 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?