3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,421 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,107/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$812
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-180/mo
Annual
$-2,159/yr
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.98%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$43,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-180 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (20.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (28.5% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (28.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: San Jacinto El (math 29% / reading 26%, grade F, #2,768 of 4,322 statewide, top 65%, 441 students, 95% FRL); Houston Middle (math 32% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 656 students, 88% FRL); Tascosa H S (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #798 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 2,187 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 58% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P14K3779BFM3AJ
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29