3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,896 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Townhouse
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$368
HOA
−$255
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$503
Net cashflow
$-225/mo
Annual
$-2,695/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.38%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#140 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Westfield-Washington Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 301 in IN (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Monon Trail Elementary School (math 55% / reading 43%, grade D, #301 of 994 statewide, top 30%, 572 students, 29% FRL); Westfield Middle School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #31 of 330 statewide, top 9%, 1,429 students, 18% FRL); Westfield High School (math 61% / reading 85%, grade B+, #8 of 369 statewide, top 2%, 2,665 students, 18% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 1277 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 83d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.1% in Westfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P15SFQ1DBYP0FT
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29