4 bd · 5.0 ba ·
1,764 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Other
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,811/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,033
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$245/mo
Annual
$2,941/yr
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.33%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$55,160
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/5.0-bath other listed at $197k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#760 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lackawanna Trail SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #248 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wyoming County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $140k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: siding
— Significant wear and discoloration
Minor: flooring
— Worn tile in living area
Minor: paint
— Painted walls, some wear
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29