3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 1912
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$707
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-895/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.37%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$37,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-895/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (8.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (19.5% below list).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
Erie City SD (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: kitchen countertops
— dated and worn
Moderate: kitchen appliances
— dated and worn
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Major: landscaping
— overgrown yard and lack of landscaping
CashFlowRE · CFR-P1PRR0AQHK4EBK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29