2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,075/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$226
Net cashflow
$84/mo
Annual
$1,013/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.90%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (14.0% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#593 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, employment D.
Hinckley-Finlayson School District (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #272 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Pine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pine County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P21B2HF7KSYDWN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29