2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$964/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$215/mo
Annual
$2,583/yr
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.68%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($964 rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 42/100 on livability (#119 in NV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Humboldt County School District (town): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #8 of 17 in NV (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Humboldt County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P2W3XS1EPXVMTR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29