2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
520 sqft ·
Built 1946
· Other
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$58
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$-260/mo
Annual
$-3,121/yr
Cap rate
4.69%
Cash-on-cash
-5.72%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-260 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (19.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (25.6% below list).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $807 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#186 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Macks Creek R-V (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #399 of 535 in MO (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Macks Creek Elem. (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 185 students, 98% FRL); Macks Creek High (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 154 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 57% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 1.7% in Camdenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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