1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,447 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$986/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$166/mo
Annual
$1,994/yr
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.50%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#507 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
West Central CUSD 235 (rural): math 8% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #581 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: West Central High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 199 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henderson County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $74k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P31TMW3ZVB3PN0
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29