3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,796/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$388
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$377
Net cashflow
$930/mo
Annual
$11,158/yr
Cap rate
21.37%
Cash-on-cash
53.85%
DSCR
3.40
1% rule
2.43%
Cash to close
$20,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $930 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 536 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 3.5% in Suffolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Damaged and peeling
Major: roof
— Missing shingles and damage
Major: windows
— Cracked and broken
Major: interior walls/paint
— Peeling and chipped
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible photos to assess
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29