3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,659 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,662/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,822
Tax + insurance
−$646
HOA
−$95
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$559
Net cashflow
$-460/mo
Annual
$-5,524/yr
Cap rate
4.93%
Cash-on-cash
-4.86%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$97,304
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $348k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-460 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (19.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (23.4% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $266k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AL, #2,110 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: commute F.
Trussville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #5 of 129 in AL (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Paine Elementary School (math 68% / reading 82%, grade A, #14 of 627 statewide, top 2%, 1,350 students, 16% FRL); Hewitttrussville Middle School (math 33% / reading 75%, grade B-, #20 of 257 statewide, top 8%, 1,202 students, 16% FRL); Hewitttrussville High School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #15 of 305 statewide, top 5%, 1,573 students, 15% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.4% in Trussville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P4H7DK8G5K5K8G
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29