2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
916 sqft ·
Built 1929
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$949/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$566
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,190/yr
Cap rate
7.40%
Cash-on-cash
3.94%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$30,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (12.2% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#560 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Modoc Joint Unified (town): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #404 of 517 in CA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Alturas Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #917 of 1,571 statewide, top 60%, 389 students, 65% FRL); Modoc Middle (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #242 of 498 statewide, top 50%, 192 students, 67% FRL); Modoc High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #987 of 1,170 statewide, top 86%, 227 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Modoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Modoc County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P5G5MH9YC1WEAK
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29