4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 163 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,356/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-993/yr
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.09%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-993/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (8.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (20.2% below list).
It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#257 in IA, #4,965 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Riverside Community School District (rural): math 66% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #168 of 289 in IA (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Riverside Elementary (188 students, 46% FRL); Riverside Community Carson Elementary (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 146 students, 47% FRL); Riverside Community High School (math 69% / reading 73%, grade B+, #139 of 336 statewide, top 41%, 359 students, 36% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 679 units permitted in Pottawattamie County in 2024 (566 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pottawattamie County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $170k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P5R7G455JCAQAX
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29