3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,164 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 428 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,680/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,216
Tax + insurance
−$386
HOA
−$29
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$-305/mo
Annual
$-3,655/yr
Cap rate
4.72%
Cash-on-cash
-5.63%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$64,932
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $232k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-305 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (19.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (27.6% below list).
It's been on market 428 days — a 12% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Endeavor Elementary School (math 30% / reading 63%, grade D-, #159 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 628 students, 33% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 29% / reading 66%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 1,003 students, 31% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1001 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 37d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 428 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P68EQR3EMR3P2Z
· Data 4 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29