3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,346 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$118
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$16/mo
Annual
$188/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.34%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($188/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (3.8% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $183k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#52 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gilbert High (math 37% / reading 83%, grade C+, #109 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,118 students, 38% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P6DJ4D8M0YY5VE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29