2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,233 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,622/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$-220/mo
Annual
$-2,637/yr
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.48%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-220 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (15.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (22.8% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#117 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F, employment F.
Crook County SD (town): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #19 of 58 in OR (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crooked River Elementary School (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #108 of 412 statewide, top 31%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Crook County Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #48 of 128 statewide, top 38%, 617 students, 36% FRL); Crook County High School (830 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 541 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 142 units permitted in Crook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crook County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.1% in Prineville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P6DPABDDZZRX8C
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29