1 bd · None ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,857/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,327
Tax + insurance
−$422
HOA
−$980
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$600
Net cashflow
$-471/mo
Annual
$-5,655/yr
Cap rate
4.06%
Cash-on-cash
-7.98%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$70,840
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/?-bath condo listed at $253k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-471 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $253k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#2 in NJ, #139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Fort Lee School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #105 of 472 in NJ (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 202 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,488 units permitted in Bergen County in 2024 (1,610 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bergen County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 1.5% in Fort Lee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P6J3XH7R080ZQX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29