2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,354 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 157 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,947/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$428
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$409
Net cashflow
$-148/mo
Annual
$-1,782/yr
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.65%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-148 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (10.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $195k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Little Miami Primary School (math 76% / reading 65%, grade A-, #376 of 1,584 statewide, top 24%, 855 students, 18% FRL); Little Miami Middle School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A, #143 of 654 statewide, top 23%, 1,279 students, 16% FRL); Little Miami High School (math 52% / reading 81%, grade B, #150 of 781 statewide, top 20%, 1,445 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $180k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P8JRRE7XZJPA5D
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29