3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,420 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$-84/mo
Annual
$-1,008/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.12%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (8.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (23.2% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $130k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#100 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: commute C-, employment D+, schools D.
New Albany-Floyd County Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #68 of 301 in IN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 297 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Floyd County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $170k implies a 446% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in New Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P93NAQ2AKV00G0
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29