21272 Ebony Rd

Harlingen, TX 78583

$575,000C-

None bd · None ba · 8,753 sqft · Built 1990 · MultiFamily · Pending · 313 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,406/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,015
• Tax + insurance: −$958
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,135
• Net cashflow: $297/mo
• Annual: $3,565/yr
• Cap rate: 6.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.21%
• DSCR: 1.10
• 1% rule: 0.94%
• Cash to close: $161,000

Investor read

• This is a 5 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $575k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $59/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $541k (6.0% below list).
• It's been on market 313 days — a 12% lower offer ($506k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $506k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $42k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
• Rio Hondo ISD (town): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #769 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Rio Hondo El (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 624 students, 86% FRL); Rio Hondo Middle (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,378 of 1,662 statewide, top 83%, 488 students, 91% FRL); Rio Hondo H S (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,044 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 507 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 23% district-wide (64 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $161k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 313 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.