3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
5,497 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,975/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$582
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$835
Net cashflow
$728/mo
Annual
$8,741/yr
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.94%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $349k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $349k).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $318k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#214 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
Chehalis School District (town): math 49% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #102 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Chehalis Middle School (635 students, 55% FRL); W F West High School (946 students, 45% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 239 active listings in the ZIP; 265 units permitted in Lewis County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lewis County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.1% in Chehalis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: exterior siding
— weathered and peeling
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated and could be replaced
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— basic and could be upgraded
Minor: HVAC units
— some wear and could be replaced
CashFlowRE · CFR-PA63VX5S38FQNV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29