2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,849 sqft ·
Built 2018
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 193 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,029/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$598
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$102/mo
Annual
$1,222/yr
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.83%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$31,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (9.8% below list).
It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($788 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#283 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Medicine Valley Public Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #151 of 245 in NE (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Frontier County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Frontier County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PAGXPV93N6MQF2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29