3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,292 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,158/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$87/mo
Annual
$1,043/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.87%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (11.0% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#62 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Lincoln Parish (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #24 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Lincoln Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $61k; list at $130k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.1% in Choudrant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PASXA32FPSEDT0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29