3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,020 sqft ·
Built 1941
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,223/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$612
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$226/mo
Annual
$2,717/yr
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.31%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$32,676
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $117k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $107 of equity ($807 loan paydown + $-700 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#378 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Brighton School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #566 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 365 students, 89% FRL); Pleasant Grove High School (math 0% / reading 18%, grade F, #260 of 305 statewide, top 85%, 729 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 49% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 41d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 84% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 31% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $84k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.8% in Hueytown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PAWVX742KD6KK0
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29