3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$995/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$-457/mo
Annual
$-5,486/yr
Cap rate
3.24%
Cash-on-cash
-10.89%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-457 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (36.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (44.7% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (44.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#380 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Sunnyside School District (town): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #202 of 291 in WA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 2.1% in Sunnyside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PB1V0P36PHYD7X
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29