2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,098 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$118
Tax + insurance
−$38
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$595/mo
Annual
$7,142/yr
Cap rate
38.03%
Cash-on-cash
113.36%
DSCR
6.04
1% rule
4.22%
Cash to close
$6,300
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $22k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($156 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#568 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Doniphan R-I (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #254 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Doniphan Elem. (378 students, 99% FRL); Doniphan Middle (math 15% / reading 33%, grade F, #326 of 391 statewide, top 84%, 361 students, 99% FRL); Doniphan High (math 54% / reading 57%, grade C, #61 of 521 statewide, top 12%, 476 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 63% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP.
Ripley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 38.0% vs local median 2.6% in Doniphan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of potential leaks
Major: siding
— Peeling and damaged
Major: flooring
— Dirty and worn
Major: paint
— Peeling and dirty
Major: bathroom
— Dirty and in poor condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-PBM4BY0TBJMYHH
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29