3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,142 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,305/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$610
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$-1,148/mo
Annual
$-13,780/yr
Cap rate
3.23%
Cash-on-cash
-10.94%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.51%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (45.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (48.8% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $231k (48.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#39 in CT, #2,723 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
North Haven School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #55 of 153 in CT (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clintonville Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #237 of 553 statewide, top 45%, 371 students, 19% FRL); North Haven Middle School (math 45% / reading 68%, grade B, #59 of 175 statewide, top 34%, 724 students, 22% FRL); North Haven High School (math 41% / reading 64%, grade C-, #79 of 194 statewide, top 40%, 921 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 4.2% in North Haven — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PBMZ7A8B3B318H
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29