3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1886
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$-454/mo
Annual
$-5,445/yr
Cap rate
4.51%
Cash-on-cash
-6.38%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.56%
Cash to close
$85,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-454 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (26.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (44.2% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (44.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#51 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment A-, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Caesar Rodney School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #9 of 26 in DE (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $159k; list at $305k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.3% in Magnolia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PBTWAW8PE2JQNK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29