3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,120 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Pending
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,788/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$588
HOA
−$418
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$586
Net cashflow
$226/mo
Annual
$2,712/yr
Cap rate
7.76%
Cash-on-cash
5.24%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jack Lowe Sr El (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #146 of 4,322 statewide, top 4%, 526 students, 98% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+36 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Dallas ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,788/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 3482% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29