3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,778
Tax + insurance
−$565
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$944
Net cashflow
$1,208/mo
Annual
$14,497/yr
Cap rate
10.57%
Cash-on-cash
15.27%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$94,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $339k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $339k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $329k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#756 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Las Virgenes Unified (suburban): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #58 of 517 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Alice C. Stelle Middle (math 40% / reading 68%, grade B-, #79 of 498 statewide, top 16%, 760 students, 17% FRL); Calabasas High (math 34% / reading 70%, grade D+, #296 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,817 students, 23% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
13 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $339k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.2% in Calabasas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PCCS8TFF1VDPFK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29