15 bd · 8.0 ba ·
3,931 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 180 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,454/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$257
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,355
Net cashflow
$3,347/mo
Annual
$40,168/yr
Cap rate
20.67%
Cash-on-cash
51.34%
DSCR
3.28
1% rule
2.26%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 5 × 3-bed/1.6-bath units multifamily listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($40k/yr) — positive. Per door: $669/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $285k).
It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in MT, #2,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
Great Falls H S (urban): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #79 of 116 in MT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 223 units permitted in Cascade County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cascade County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 3.5% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,454/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 531% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29