2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,731 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Other
· Active
· 116 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,132/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$-53/mo
Annual
$-633/yr
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.46%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-633/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (6.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (27.0% below list).
It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#359 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mccracken County (town): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Reidland Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 587 students, 70% FRL); Reidland Middle School (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 330 students, 64% FRL); Mccracken County High School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #58 of 254 statewide, top 27%, 1,999 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 41% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $73k; list at $155k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PDG6340KTTHMP1
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29