3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,125 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,275/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$350
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$147/mo
Annual
$1,769/yr
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#316 in PA, #2,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment D-.
General Mclane SD (rural): math 50% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #85 of 539 in PA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.3% in Edinboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Snow removal
— Snow accumulation suggests potential water damage and ice dams.
Major: Landscaping
— No visible landscaping, which detracts from curb appeal and value.
Major: Foundation inspection
— Snow accumulation suggests potential water damage and ice dams, which could affect the foundation.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PDGW7V496T8TVG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29